ychen222

http://www.gold-eagle.com/editorials_08/doolittle030511.html

"Fed is still fighting slow-moving money and not inflation."

按他是说法，FED宽松银根会持续很长时间，不惜商品股市泡沫。
不知这个velocity of money指标是滞前还是滞后的指标？

"For a variety of technical reasons that I cover each and every night, I think such a move is more likely than not in the coming weeks and it is for all such reasons, and mainly a bearish Broadening Formation, that I have set a near-term target of 1,240 on the S&P500."

ychen222

http://www.gold-eagle.com/editorials_08/radomski030811.html

"That is, stocks appear poised to resume their rally as the current pause builds a foundation for another move up. In other words, the recent sideways price action above the levels of the August, 2008 highs leads us to a bullish outlook for the weeks ahead. "

ychen222

胡同9/viewthread.php?tid=111484&extra=page%3D2

胡同的X!nG虽然认为美股应该“砸锅卖铁买入”，但加了一个条件“只要铜没有跟随下跌。”
眼下铜已经跌破至年内最低，头肩顶可能出现，出大麻烦啦？

ychen222

铜的头肩顶成立的话，颈线4200到顶4600是400点，那么也许要跌到3800，去年11月中下旬位置。
对应股市就是NASDAQ的2500点，SP500的1180点。

ychen222

http://www.gold-eagle.com/editorials_08/vermeulen031311.html

看着挺吓人的。
这次也许需要更当心，不（或小小量）抢底，等弹上去（如果有的话）再追。

ychen222

看看美国2001年911以后的大V，这次若走大V的话，跌到2500/2250也不是不可能。
日本2天不就跌掉16%。

ychen222

http://www.gold-eagle.com/editorials_08/connor031411.html

"In any case it is time to exit all general stock market funds and position oneself in cash to ride out the next leg down in the secular bear market."

目前为止此人以前预测的美元大跌还没有实现。
我还是觉得中期不能肯定熊，股市涨其实阻力小，现在调一调是搞掉技术上超买。

ychen222

http://www.finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=HG

铜又收复了颈线42000。
失败的头肩顶反向报复也是相当凶狠的。

ychen222

http://www.gold-eagle.com/editorials_08/vermeulen031711.html

“As you can see this indicator is currently trading in the lower reversal zone and I feel a bottom will form before March is over.”

“Looking at the bottom indicator which is my gauge of panic selling within the market, it has yet to close above 15 which is the minimum number I typically look for before I start zooming into the intraday charts for a long entry (market bottom). We still could see much lower prices before we see that.”

ychen222

http://www.gold-eagle.com/editorials_08/doolittle031811.html

此文说DOW已经到达Diamond Top目标，SP500还差一点，NASDAQ不够，罗素2000和XLF则差得远。
到底DOW是领军的角色还是没事瞎捣乱的角色，拭目以待。

"As I have been writing about for weeks now, the 10-year yield's been caught in what looks like a Symmetrical Triangle of its own and particularly with this week's spike down in yield.

This chart, however, suggests that a much bigger spike down in yield is to come and one that will be put in between about 2.75% and 3.00%.

If the 10-year yield should spike down in such a manner as investors push the price up in a fast flight to safety, such a move would be the very thing to confirm that the risk rally had, in fact, suffered a cruel correction as risk is shunned and safety sought."

ychen222

http://stockcharts.com/def/servl ... rvlet?obj=ID3400916

牛牛现在占主动不假，但占优势还算不上。

ychen222

http://www.finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=HG

最近才注意铜的走势，见3/10，3/11的贴，当时铜破位，而那时股市还算不上破位。
现在铜似乎已经明确地恢复牛势，而股市还在关键阻力下徘徊，股市要跟上来吗？

ychen222

http://www.yayabay.com/forum/vie ... &extra=page%3D1

小草的CPC图还是很经典的。

ychen222

http://www.yayabay.com/forum/vie ... &extra=page%3D1

“本帖最后由 停车坐爱 于 2011-3-24 15:23 编辑 9# 停车坐爱

只有稳定美元，转嫁危机，才能让地球跟着美国转。只有FED买债，才能解放米国人民，只有解放米国人民，才能有O8的连任。。。
ctcld 发表于 2011-3-24 15:07
美元只需要相对于别国的稳定！---君不见他国之通涨之猛于虎！在美国，我们却仍然相对来说，没有感受到太大压力！

这就是美国的险恶之处！---杀人一万，自损三千！损他人更多，相当于利己！

这是美国金融危机导致经济衰退后的损人救己的唯一方法！---短期内，可能成功！长期来说，估计全球人民要对美国进行茉莉花革命！ ”

这听着好似有道理。