You have to be in it to win it. But you don’t have to be in it twice.
Reuters
With the Powerball jackpot at record levels this week — $500 million as of Tuesday night — there’s a rush to get tickets for a chance to become an instant centi-millionaire. And with all that hoopla comes chronic waste. Chief among it: the purchase of “extra” lottery tickets by many consumers looking to increase their odds of winning.
It’s not that the lottery has no benefit for the gazillions of losers who, statistically speaking, are in it so someone else can win it, and win it bigger than ever. There’s some good that comes from playing what-if games, from doing something that gives hope and generates excitement in the middle of our mundane routines.
But it’s important not to lose sight of the basic fact that the lottery is a loser’s bet, and that the time spent asking “What would I do if I won the lottery?” should not undermine the more-important, seldom-asked, question: “What should I do if I never win the lottery?”
For most people – especially those who only play when jackpots are ginormous – the lottery is a wishing well, a place where they throw money in the pool and hope for life-changing good fortune. If you’re giving up a movie or a latte to buy a few extra Powerball slips, it’s a transfer of one discretionary expense for another. The problem comes, however, when you pour money into the lottery pool at the expense of improving your life in other ways.
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People, don't buy more than one Powerball ticket
You can buy one lottery ticket. But more than just one doesn't increase your odds of winning a jackpot. Marketwatch's Chuck Jaffe discusses on Markets Hub. Photo: Reuters.
Consider just how bad the Powerball odds of 175 million-to-1 really are.
Think of a national drawing where at the next State-of-the-Union address, the President is going to randomly say the name of one American woman. With roughly 159 million American women, according to the last census estimates, there’s a better chance that someone you know gets the Presidential mention. Buying dozens — even hundreds — of tickets won’t change swing those kinds of odds in your favor. (Bought 10 tickets? Each has roughly a 0.000000005714 chance of winning).
And as for excitement of being in the game, or the social benefits of participating in the office pool, many studies have shown that after you buy the first ticket, there are diminishing emotional returns. Increase your lottery purchase from a $2 ticket to a sawbuck and you don’t get five times the rush of playing simply because you bought five tickets instead of one.
The buzz of the dream may last a little longer – as you have more tickets to confirm as losers – but the extra dollars did not buy you the same kind of goodwill and hope that you got from just the first ticket purchased.
So, go ahead: Play the game. But don’t feed the ticket-buying frenzy when you’d clearly be better off feeding your piggy bank.
发表于 2012-11-27 14:55
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发表于 2012-11-27 15:05
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