http://www.gold-eagle.com/editorials_08/petch120111.html
“ S&P 500 Index 。。。So again, everything is pointing towards a bottom no earlier than the end of December (Orthodox low (higher low)) and no later than mid-February...it all depends how everything pans out.”
“ When the %K in stochastic 2 crosses above the %D in 3, it will generate a buy signal on the weekly chart...this is not likely to occur before mid to late January.”
“a top is not likely to be put in place until late 2012/early 2013”
“This would take the S&P into late January/early February before bottoming.”
“Once wave (XX) completes, then wave (Z) should carry the S&P 500 Index up to at least the 1500-1550 level, potentially even to 1600-1650 in late 2012/early 2013...all based on the US Dollar Index set to decline for most of 2012 and into early 2013. Once a top is put in place for the broad stock market indices, the correction from 2013 into early/mid 2014 will be brutal, with a MINIMUM of a 40-50% correction. The Contracting Fibonacci Spiral the markets are trapped in at the moment has had every signature date have at least a 40-50% correction...the length of corrections that follow are not determined by this Cycle ”
“ a top of 1700 would see a low near 800-850 at some point in late 2013/early 2014.”
“a true bottom will not be put in place until at least the 2nd or 3rd week of December. Note that the lows may have been put in place, but sideways price action should persist until at least mid-December, potentially until near the end of the month.”
David Petch认为至少本月SP500牛不起来，可能明年1月/2月才见底，之后可以大涨到15XX甚至1700于2012年底，2013再跌去40-50%。 |
发表于 2011-11-30 07:30
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