[读书学习] 读后感系列贴 (三)

ychen222

"读后感系列贴"在
http://www.yayabay.com/forum/vie ... &extra=page%3D3

读后感系列贴 (II)在
http://www.yayabay.com/forum/vie ... page%3D1&page=1

ychen222

假如老何说得对，3月那次实际上不应该有如此深的回调，那么中期周期可能就得按11/10开始到现在来算，时间长了些，可是好处是本次回调还是明显HH，“In a healthy bull market intermediate degree corrections hold well above the prior cycle troughs.”没有被破坏。

何鸿燊

回复 75# ychen222


觉得这个周期受到日本地震的影响，节奏变了。

ychen222

http://www.trader1688.com/bb/vie ... ;t=48698&hilit=
http://www.smartmoneytracker.blogspot.com/

“The average duration of an intermediate cycle is between 20 and 25 weeks. ”　

照他这么算，中期底出现在8月份。

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2011-6-23 06:58

ychen222

http://stockcharts.com/def/servl ... 926808&cmd=show[s234780653]&disp=O

CPCE的10天均线如此吓人，为什么VIX这次却不突出呢？

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2011-6-22 07:21

ychen222

http://stockcharts.com/def/servl ... D95481&cmd=show[s4549237]&disp=O

股市的真正方向可能还是取决于美元/殴元，看美元的强势/欧元的颓势是否真的。

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2011-6-21 07:11

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2011-6-21 07:11

ychen222

http://www.gold-eagle.com/editorials_08/connor061611.html

上次Toby Connor说美元大底看来是对的，所以股市要大熊。

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2011-6-20 06:42

aimei

cool
learning
yes

ychen222

http://stockcharts.com/def/servl ... rvlet?obj=ID3400916

觉得现在也许可以套用去年股市调整的走法，见图：

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2011-6-17 08:17

aimei

super duper

ychen222

http://stockcharts.com/def/servl ... D95481&cmd=show[s4549237]&disp=O

美元突破重要阻力，出现HH和HL，加上欧元，A股和铜的疲软，SP500跌破1250应该只是时间问题。
华尔街MM从来落井下石，而不会是救世主。

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2011-6-16 06:46

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2011-6-16 06:46

snowrider

“I used to back tested my systems 24x7 against more than 30 years of historical data, trying to ...
ychen222 发表于 2011-6-15 06:47

"至少说明做交易系统不是一条好走的路" - I believe that there must be some talent people there have better trading idea so that their systems work.  I am just not brilliant enough, so my systems did not work.

ychen222

http://www.yayabay.com/forum/vie ... &extra=page%3D1

“I used to back tested my systems 24x7 against more than 30 years of historical data, trying to find the best solution.  What was my daily life?  Whenever there was an idea, I code my idea to TradeStation, and then ran the back testing.  Alas, I gave up all my systems because I was not able to find one that I really like.”

至少说明做交易系统不是一条好走的路。

ychen222

上周五说SP500还差7点，当天就把这7点补了。

http://www.gold-eagle.com/editorials_08/vermeulen060911.html

看样子反弹还是有希望的。

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2011-6-13 08:29

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2011-6-13 08:30

ychen222

http://stockcharts.com/def/servl ... 926808&cmd=show[s203616851]&disp=O

月图里MA（10）算1270吧，前天最低的1277其实还差一点点。
而若去MA（20）的1185就算大调了。

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2011-6-10 07:13