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2012-11-02 Update Hit resistance 1430's then pullback. My analysis not went big wrong. 反弹目标位会有多高? http://www.yayabay.com/forum/redirect.php?goto=findpost&ptid=219037&pid=6077396 1417, 1st pullback. Actually ES hit 1418. 1435, 2nd pullback. ES touched 1432 in real. 2012-11-0
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SPY has seen seven consecutive LL since 10/18/2012. What's next? I calculated its statistics. Historically, 6 out of 8 events, market bounced green next day. But eventually went lower . 2011 and 1998 were worst cases. (2011, next day was green, then down 3 other days. nightmare for most
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AAPL should see support at its 200sma. It's at its historical hi-vol area. Its 7EMA seldom below 21EMA. Conclusion: a bounce pending.
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大选时节牛熊争 道上玩人欲断魂 借问赢家何处有 牧童遥指 Y Y村
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11/15/2012 update AAPL after 8 consecutive red weeks chance of up:down = 2:1 for next week. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ 11/02/2012 update AAPL after 6 consecutive red weeks 6 consecutive red weeks. Next week still with chance of 2:5=Up:Down, high chance to go red. Ou
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10/12 - 10/19 the top (selected) ETF out of 1490 ETFs. Greatest swings this week SOXS UGAZ SQQQ ERX TMV UYM FAS UVXY USLV SOXL TQQQ ERY TMF NUGT UVXY as usual volatile. https://docs.google.com/spreadsh ... tzMTlZVjZZRFE#gid=0
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2012-11-21 VIX two days under lower BB and 3rd white bar. 这是个著名的short (SPY) setup,胜率挺高,至少会有几天的回调。 Below table is my calculation using historical data of VIX and SPX (yahoo data since 1990). The Event(VIX two days under lower BB and 3rd white bar) time and its 1st day: Co
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SPY hit the resistance then pullback today. ES weaker, even didn't hit ES resistance. 10/25/2012 night-shift ES hit 1394.5 (7 days ago 1451, see chart above) Per Kami, 1390-1400处应该有短期支撑. 8月份的强支撑,(see chart below).
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