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发表于 2014-3-19 16:04 | 显示全部帖子

Today SPX(top 1874/bottom 1850/close 1860) seems echoing 1872,1848,1860 I mentioned yesterday.

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发表于 2014-3-19 18:07 | 显示全部帖子

回复 ychen222

Next?
not4weak 发表于 2014-3-19 16:47

This Monday (3/17) I already said "down to 1800 would be the first step in the near future, then rally to 1920."

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发表于 2014-3-20 16:28 | 显示全部帖子

Closed at 1872.
SPX has been around 1872 for 3 days. A regular upper boundary should not be this shape.

Breaking 1872 to test 1900(then to 1800) might be another option.

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发表于 2014-3-21 10:13 | 显示全部帖子

NASDAQ is red now?

Then SPX two tops (at 1883) might be the case. The target is still 1800.

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发表于 2014-3-21 13:18 | 显示全部帖子

So far SPX lower low intra-day, NASDAQ red, but TLT up steadily...

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发表于 2014-3-24 10:26 | 显示全部帖子

Bye-bye 1873, now it is 1860 show...

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发表于 2014-3-24 16:24 | 显示全部帖子

Today SPX(top 1874/bottom 1850/close 1860) seems echoing 1872,1848,1860 I mentioned yesterday.
ychen222 发表于 2014-3-19 16:04

Today SPX high 1873, low 1849, close 1857, almost repeated last Wednesday's story.

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发表于 2014-3-25 09:18 | 显示全部帖子

Laoda, what do you think may be next? any update?
learner 发表于 2014-3-25 00:43

Although 1848-1860-1872 hints both 1920 and 1800, I still think 1800 would be the target.

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发表于 2014-3-26 20:23 | 显示全部帖子

NASDQA/NDX/RUT have been already near the low targets, while SPX/INDU lag.

In this case, I am not sure if SPX could get 1800. 182x also possible.

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发表于 2014-3-26 22:03 | 显示全部帖子

Lao da, what is the target for Nasdaq / Rut? Will they hit the 100 MA?
黄金奇异果发表于 2014-3-26 20:55

I am going to buy RUT about 1140.
Not sure about NASDAQ/NDX.

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发表于 2014-3-27 15:02 | 显示全部帖子

The attached charts indicate that SPX/INDU most likely bottom at the end of March, then rally hard from the beginning of April.
(http://www.silver-phoenix500.com ... ck-market-report-18)

So I doubt there would be enough time for SPX to 1800/182x/1830 this time.

Right now I hold no short position, but a little long position of RUT.

burk010414-9.jpg (74.4 KB)

burk010414-7.jpg (70 KB)

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发表于 2014-3-28 11:04 | 显示全部帖子

Should bears fail, SPX/RUT would rally to 1920/1240.

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发表于 2014-3-28 11:06 | 显示全部帖子

By the way, "RUT可能去1138" post was dead due to timeout.
I will use this post for any further update.

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发表于 2014-3-29 19:59 | 显示全部帖子

周末认真看了一下图, 感觉就算把SPX的区间从1840-2040移到1800-2000大概还是高了, 从现在的样子看, 似乎1760-1960更合理.

1760-1960的中位是1860, 10%的上下界为1840/1880. 2月份以来一个多月的走法支持1840/1880做中位.

如果以上看法成立, 推论就是SPX顶点应该不超过1960很多, 2000点无望了. 当前从此处涨上去就是要到1960出第一个顶, 然后跌向1760, 再出双顶, 然后熊市就开始啦.

1.png (54.8 KB)

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发表于 2014-4-2 09:28 | 显示全部帖子

Since 1860 is so important, I guess that 1860(or 187x) would be revisited before breaking out 1890.