ychen222

RUT was strong today, while SPX was weak.

I think RUT 1147 has reached the target and due to a pullback to 1135.
On the other hand, SPX should go up to 1830 from 1818.

ychen222

Today SPX narrowed between 1829.75 and 1822.92.  Using 1829.75 and 1823 as the boundary, the target would be 1826.4-(6.75*10/4)=1809.5
I guess tomorrow morning SPX would test 1830 again, then Thursday/Friday down to 1810.

RUT chart was ruined today. However, 1213.49 should be reached finally.

ychen222

若SPX的上下界按1833/1823算，那么1828-10*10/4=1803.
若RUT的上下界按1163/1152算，那么1157.5-11*10/4=1130.
注意SPX/RUT周一收盘价周二开盘价正好是1828/1157.5.

ychen222

昨天的猜测错误。难道这头牛停不下来啦？

假设SPX真的止在这里然后回调1813，倒是让我担心1900能否上得去了。
RUT最后去1213应该没问题。

ychen222

SPX的1844.89使得其登上1900有保障。
按说SPX/RUT先有一个2%的回调再去1900+/1200+比较合理，可年末年初会不会让指数以盘带跌？我不知道。

ychen222

Rut 像不像是已经开始调整了？
黄金奇异果 发表于 2013-12-27 19:19

第一, SPX的1844.89似乎意犹未尽,以后两天略出新高有可能.
第二, RUT似乎想盘于1168-1158,1168可能会重测, 甚至3测.
所以我现在对2%的回调有疑虑.

ychen222

注意RUT的1168-1157.5通道等高下跌正好是1147（前期高点），而波段中区低点则是1162.25-26.25=1136（前期次高点）。
所以1168-1157.5通道成型后，还是要去1147或1136。

ychen222

今天仔细看了看SPX/INDU，感觉大股指数似乎需要再涨1%-2%才需要回调？
总之当前不值得做空，伺机做多才是正道。

ychen222

Guess that RUT might go down to 1155-1156 to finish the 3 push down, then rally to 119x starting from the new year.

ychen222

Seems like the new year rally just started.
The reasonable target would be SPX/RUT 1875/1190 (a few points higher like 1880/1195 also possible).

ychen222

IF SPX/RUT 1834.55/1152 were local bottoms and wouldl hold well in next a few days,
SPX: 1849.5 - 1834.5 => 1841.5+37.5=1879
RUT: 1166 - 1152  =>  1159+35=1194

ychen222

SPX/RUT 1831/1147 are the limit.
If 1831/1147 still could not hold, I would re-consider the big picture.

ychen222

Maybe around 1818.
祥云 发表于 2014-1-2 13:37

Yes, the next level of pullback target would be SPX/RUT 1818/1135.

My original big picture was that SPX/RUT should build 1840-1910/1165-1215 channels. After one-two months in the channels, they finally would plunge to 1700/1065.

ychen222

看来回调不用去SPX/RUT 1818/1135，1823/1146就够了。

猜测以后一两个月的交易区SPX依然是1840-1910， RUT也许是1160-1214？

ychen222

牛牛此处消耗时间太长了，若再不突破，回调SPX/RUT 1818/1135又变得有可能性了。